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  • Finding Out About System Trading

    Posted by admin on February 19th, 2010 and filed under day trading techniques | No Comments »

    To get into the art of trading can be a long and arduous task. Learning about it and mastering it can take months, even years. And even with all that training, you will still find yourself lost in the shuffle.

    So now, what can one aspiring trader do? The most important thing to consider, after learning all you can about trading is continuing education. What does this mean? It means keeping yourself up to date with all the changes in the world of system trading.

    The world of trading changes constantly, and one must be kept on his or her toes on all events that may change. If not, you may find yourself stuck between a rock and a hard place if you don’t know what to do. To have a sort of continuing education is important also so that you won’t forget the aspects of trading you may use sparingly. but the main objective is to be kept up to date.

    An example is, if you wish to be kept up to speed with the crude oil market, and the forex market, you’d have to visit multiple blogs just to be abreast of the changing trends. One answer to that is to follow a system trading blog that caters to all aspects of trading that you are interested in. Though some topics may not be applicable to you, it is good practice to learn them still so that you would be prepared for whatever eventuality you may encounter.

    Getting back to the crude oil market, if you are like me, I know nothing about it when I started, but while I was doing my continuing education, I learned all about easy. This gives me an edge on my peers as well giving me an option to look into trading into the crude oil market. So whether you are into oil, forex or what have you, be sure to continue learning not just on your chosen field, but also with the other branches of trading. This will ensure you not getting caught with your pants down if ever something undesirable happens.

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    Must Know Trading Systems That Achieve Long-Term Profits

    Posted by admin on January 30th, 2010 and filed under day trading techniques | No Comments »

    Money Management & My Trading Secrets

    Tackling every market situation with proven tactics and decisive actions are the first steps in a trading career. Itís time to take the next move. Below I will list a few of the core principles and strategies that have proven steadfast and central to my trading profession. After you have taken them into your own repertoire of trading techniques, I am positive that you will have similar feelings.

    Do you believe that the more you trade the more money you will make? On the surface this rings true, however experienced traders will reveal that the best strategy when looking to make serious money is to understand one market inside and out.

    When it comes down to it, the best trading system is simply that, simple. After all, how great can a trading system be if it paralyses your decision making and leaves you second guessing? Too many indicators and over optimization are the number one culprits of an over-complicated trading strategy. There are times when an over optimized plan will perform well; such as in historical data. However, it said system performs poorly in real time than it isnít much of a system, is it?

    Do you have your stock trading systems documented and penned? If not, then you will only get so far as a trader. Every single long-term successful trader that I have ever met documents their winning trade systems. Take the time to write the entire methodology that led to your success. Why do you need to bother? In order to trade you must have a perception about the market. Commit to that perception by writing down your thoughts and strategies. By taking that perception and claiming it as yours you risk the opposite outcome of being incorrect. There will be no bones about it since it is written in black and white, and that is the point. Hold yourself accountable, and a revived sense of dedication will arise to better your trading system in similar future market conditions.

    One of the most over-looked, yet valuable market strategies is back testing. It may feel like research drudgery, but this is precisely why every trader needs it. Make time to test the trading systems against historical data with similar conditions. Obviously, this is not a crystal ball as exact conditions are impossible to repeat, but there will be striking similarities. After all, as you gain experience trading you form current market perceptions based on past market conditions and systems. Back testing is the same thing, only you didnít lose any of the trades, hopefully.

    Letís face it, trading confidence is invaluable. But how is one to gain this confidence when trading experience is slim? Back testing. Various trading systems help to read the market, but they only add confidence once acted upon. Whether you employ the candle sticks, moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, volatility breakouts or other trading systems is up to you. However, gaining trading confidence is also your job, and with back testing this confidence grows by leaps and bounds compared to those who choose to skip the method.

    If I told you that not just most, but almost all traders and investors have deplorable trading money management skills, would you believe me? Unfortunately, it is true. Time and time again, it is said that proper money management is the key to becoming a top trader, and yet, so many fail. If appropriate money management is not innate, learn it.

    Can I tell you a secret? I call it a ìsecretî since there is so little correct information available about this subject. And this includes authorís who have written books about the matter! Some circles call it ìdiversification,î other ìrisk control.î It is commonly known as ìwisely investing your money.î Whatever you call  trading money management,î know that its power is not in its name, but in its simple algorithm.

    Running a business and trading have key similarities. All successful businesses keep statistics. How many people visited? How many sales and the average dollar amount per sale? Multiple factors are taken account of depending on the needs of the business. In order to improve the business, one must first know where the business stands. Trading is precisely this exact way.

    Trading is a business. It may not appear as a traditional brick and mortar, but in order to improve you must keep statistics about your trading system. R multiples, win to loss rations, expectancy and other statistics area must to track. You can guess all day long where to tweak, but until you implement consistent statistic taking your trading will not improve. One solid place to learn about trading statistics is to read Trade your Way to Financial Freedom by Dr. Van Tharp.

    Are you ready to enjoy easy success? This is how it will appear to all the other traders; you will just seem to know what the market will do. But we both know that it is the hard work and time you took to back test and get a strong trading system in place. You also have mastered money management and understand the market. After working hard to maximize your potential Iíd say that you deserve success, donít you

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    Secrets To Fine-Tuning Your Stop Losses

    Posted by admin on January 29th, 2010 and filed under day trading techniques | No Comments »

    Trading System Example

    There are two cardinal successful stock market trading rules that I am sure you are quite familiar with by now.

    The first of the two most common stock market trading rules are to cut short your losses. The second of the two most common successful stock market trading rules are to let your profits run. However, you can take it one-step further by fine-tuning your trailing stop losses, and becoming more risk seeking once your stock is in profit. Increasing your risks, at the right time, can allow you to get all the profit you possibly can out of your system. You may wish to test the effects of these successful stock market trading rules by having a wider trailing stop loss than your initial stop, and see how this is reflected in your system. Let’s say, you could set your initial stop loss at two ATR but set your trailing stop loss as three ATR. This allows the stock, once it`s in profit, a little bit more room to move. You`re still limiting your risk at the beginning of the trade by keeping a tight stop loss; however you`re going to become risk seeking in a profitable situation. That is to say you`ll be willing to risk more once you`re already in profit.

    Personally, I think this is one of the many successful stock market trading rules you can use to take it a step further than most people are willing to go. With this strategy, I also mix and match my stop loss methods. For example, in one of my stock market trading rules, I set my initial stop loss at 2.5 ATR, but my trailing stop loss is measured using a completely different method. I use what`s known as the lowest low stop. The way this stop loss works is you find the lowest low in the last X number of periods, and base your trailing stop loss on it.

    Now, for that trend following system, I actually find the lowest low in the last 40 days. I then position my stop one cent below this low. It`s almost as though it`s consulting the price action itself by identifying where the lowest low is, and this can be highly effective. Many times my stop has been set one cent below a support line. The way this trailing stop loss works is that on each day a new trading day is added to the chart, and one of the old days drop off. I then find the lowest low in the last 40 days, and reposition my stop at that point, if it needs to be repositioned. This stop has been extremely valuable for me, and it may be a stop loss that you may want to consider testing.

    But, before you go looking for that perfect trailing stop loss, realize that in it`s own way, it`s very similar to the starting stop. There is no perfect stop that will guarantee to get you out of the stock at the perfect time, and save you the most profit. Sometimes it will work for you. Other times it sometimes won`t. The real key and secret of having a stop loss and an initial stop do their best for you is not how you calculate it, it`s just having them in place.

    You need to find an initial and a trailing stop loss that you`re comfortable with. You also need to figure out how they work so that the actions they direct you to take makes sense to you. How do you find a stop that you`re comfortable with? Try them. Pick out a whole lot of charts of stocks that you`ve been looking to trade, and marking where you would receive an entry signal, set various initial stops and trailing stop losses. Progress through the trade, revaluing your trailing stop loss and see which one works the best.

    Oftentimes successful stock market trading rules are designed with simple concepts that works best at this point. When you base your system on understanding, rather than optimization, you are more likely to stick with it. If you can come up with a good, straightforward set of your own stock market trading rules, you will be able to apply it across a number of markets on most trading instruments. Really, when designing any system around a set of stock market trading rules, all components should apply to this same principle. You want to keep things as simple as possible, that way it`s robust and can be applied to any market. As long as you follow this underlying principle, you`ll be on the right track.

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    Talking About Increasing Page Rank

    Posted by admin on January 29th, 2010 and filed under day trading techniques | No Comments »

    Sub-prime

    When you are trying to rank a site, there are several levels to go through. First, when you have some content, you need to get the thing indexed and build up some initial links using social book marking and RSS submissions. You then move into leveraged link acquisition. I think Web 2.0 is the thing that you logically pursue probably shortly after that leveraged stuff. I wouldn’t call it level three, maybe level two and a half.

    There is also level three, but there is no panacea for level three. Level three is just finding good quality places to get links back from. That’s when you or someone you’re paying is going out there and finding links manually, building rank links from high quality sites.

    For me personally it doesn’t make a lot of sense. From a time perspective, I know there are companies out there that do it. I would much prefer to own my own assets and build them up over time and then point those assets at my own sites. The basics of business strategy is the word control. You need to be able to control your destiny and be able to influence things. To the degree that you are reliant on getting links from those other sources, in some way you have less control.

    Consequently you should be trying to build up your own assets so that you can influence the results and get the results that you want. Level three is, what I tell people, is going to be manually getting links from people. Level four is really moving to the next level moving to build up your own assets. Level four would include building your own network.

    There is no level five. I mean you becoming the platform that people are getting links from. You, being the next Wikipedia or something like that, you being the next Web 2.0 site, the next big thing, potentially.

    There are numerous different strategies you use going from the initial, let’s get it indexed to some leveraged methods and then also we use Web 2.0 and the next level up, going out searching for those really good quality links through some sort of content exchange or providing articles to have published. The next level obviously, level four is building the network and really owning those links. For what it is that we do, there’s quite a bit of work there. Some of it we outsource and some we keep in house. We have our own network of blog sites. To be honest we don’t use them for ourselves. It’s our testing bed, our laboratory so that we can test strategies just for the development of our own SEO techniques and product. We know that whatever we’re doing is working, or when we hear of something, we can test that it works. The reality is that for our own business, we do very little SEO. It’s the cobbler’s son with no shoes sort of thing. It’s quite funny.

    For us we do very little of that. What it boils down to is a discussion between SEO and business. I think the fundamental question to ask is, most people are asking what is the minimum I can do to get the biggest impact in my life, and while it’s a good question to ask from a technical perspective, it’s a bad mentality to have. It’s a much better mindset to say, how can I serve the most amount of people? What we say is, creating content should be part of every single business regardless of what your strategy is. Creating content, having conversation, creating great value, serving as many people as you can through the value that you’re delivering through blog posts, through videos, through audios, through whatever form it takes, through software, put as much value out there as possible.

    Now you’re going to put that content out there anyway. So why not put that content out there in the most leveraged optimized way possible? If you just put that content out on your own website and you don’t link to it and no one ever finds it, you’re not creating value for people. Value is created when people see the stuff that you’re putting out there. Look at everything you do and make sure if you’re going to do the work once, with a little bit of extra work you can receive a hundred times the reward, particularly if you’re disciplined about doing it with every single piece of content that you put out there.

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    Nicolas Darvas And The Biggest Trading Secret Of All Time

    Posted by admin on January 28th, 2010 and filed under day trading techniques | No Comments »

    Why Nicolas Darvas Trading?

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    At the height of his fortune, he made 2.2 million dollars. N, at the height of his fortune, made 2.2 million dollars. If Darvas had invested today, that Nicholas Darvas was a brilliant investor, and one of the first traders to use technical analysis. At the height of his fortune, he made 2.2 million dollars. If Darvas had invested today, that 2.2 million would be 20 million!

    Before Darvas arrived in America he was studying economics at the University of Budapest. In1951, he immigrated to the United States, where he trained with his half-sister, Julia, to be a ballroom dancer. And he was a very good dancer, touring the world by 1956. He started investing in 1952, a ballroom dancer who had never invested in the stock market. But a Toronto nightclub couldn`t pay him in cash, so they paid him with three thousand shares of a Canadian mining company called Brilund. Two months later, the stock tripled and Darvas made a tidy profit. An investor was born.

    Like anyone beginning to trade on the stock market, Darvas made his mistakes. When he started out, many of his trades were gambles. He would pick companies that were the next big thing, or that came recommended by other traders. Many of his first large trades resulted in a huge losses. But cheered on by whatever small profits he did make, Darvas began asking questions about why stocks behaved the way they did.

    Figuring out that even experts couldn`t predict the market, Darvas decided that he needed to acquire his own understanding. He began devouring newsletters, books, tip sheets, “hot tips”, and so-called insider information, in his quest to understand the market. Yet, despite his arsenal of knowledge, Darvas continued to lose money. In 1955, he purchased over fifty thousand dollars worth of a company called Jones and Laughlin. Jones and Laughlin had an excellent price to earnings ratio, high dividends, and was in a strong industry group. He was so confident in his analysis, that he bought most of this stock on margin. Then Jones and Laughlin began to fall.

    In a desperate attempt to recoup his losses Darvas bought a stock he knew virtually nothing about. Jones and Laughlin`s price fell far enough to account for a ,000 loss. Soon it had risen to a point where he regained about half of his losses. At this point in his career, Darvas was frustrated with his attempts at analyzing stocks. With Jones and Laughlin, he had put a value on the stock and expected the price of the stock to behave as he expected. When the stock price fell instead of climbing as expected, Darvas finally accepted that his method wasn`t working. He decided there wasn`t much worth in analyzing stocks by trying to assess their value. Annoyed with information from tip sheets, friends, so called experts, and even Wall Street maxims, he decided to shun most of these common sources.

    In 1956 Darvas embarked on a two-year tour of the world to showcase his ballroom dancing. During this time he developed his famed Darvas Box method of screening stocks. Wanting to keep up on his holdings in stock he already owned and always on the lookout for new stocks, Darvas looked for ways to get American stock quotes while he traveled. This was a daunting task, but arrangements were made to obtain a copy of Barron`s or the Wall Street Journal through United States Embassies, and Brokers wired time sensitive information when needed.

    Without brokers, friends, or other investors to influence him, Darvas developed a method of picking stocks based solely on the stock`s price and volume. By the time he returned to New York in 1959 he had made about 0,000. After Darvas returned to New York, people who were amazed with his success began to give him “hot tips” and stock advice again. Darvas listened to them, and took huge losses on the fortune he had made.

    Knowing that it was the human element in stock trading that was his downfall, Darvas sequestered himself in Paris in February of 1959. He made arrangements with his brokers to make all his trades via wire and get the day`s highs, lows and closing prices. Using very little data, and a lot of intelligence and discipline, Darvas refined his Box method of picking stocks. Within six months, he had turned a profit of two million dollars.

    Nicholas Darvas is now regarded as one of the best traders in the history of the market. Darvas Boxes are used today and are the subject of analysis for financial researchers. Many software firms are developing programs that make the exact same observations and decisions that Darvas made as he watched stock prices and volume. His method is complicated and difficult to master, but it has been rigorously tested by those in the business and has been found to be one of the best methods out there.

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