When someone is looking to trade the stock market, most do not realize there is a big difference in the time of day that really affects how stocks act. Not using this information makes it harder to make money through any type of trading, short term, long term, or even day trading. In addition to the time of day, each method or trading system will also have certain times of the day in general where they work better or worse based on market conditions. This type of action can only be discovered by tracking the signals or stock picks that are flagged, then seeing over time when the best use is.
The first 30 minutes is usually the craziest time. Stocks will have bigger swings, up and down as a lot of times there are not established orders from larger mutual and hedge funds in the names to counter this volatility. It is a great time for daytrading and short term trading of stocks because of the increased volatility, but with that also comes increased risk of a stopout. Also there is not much in terms of support and resistance created yet, but you can look at the last hour of the prior day for guidance there. Sometimes using a stock trading system can be of assistance when the market has increased volatility, assuming you have thoroughly researched and tracked the trading ideas it might send out.
From 10am EST until about 11:30-45 EST is prime time for trends to develop. Of course the times are not exact, but a time range where a decent, continuing trend will try to develop. Also the volatility calms down alot, making it easier to put in a stop that is closer to the actual price when day trading. For longer term investing, usually this is not the time to make a decision on entrance, its too early in the day. An exception would be any entrance based off a daily breakout, or some other key fundimental news that is just starting to push the price of the stock. Entry when that happens is ok during this time.
From about 11:45 until 1:15pm EST stuff usually slows down alot, and fake moves can happen. What I mean by fake moves is stuff will look weak, then rally up sharply, or stuff will look strong (like it will continue) and then abruptly sell off. Most of this is just due to decreased volume and liquidity. Program trading bots and Algorithm trading bots love this period of time. Basically they try to fade every move, or create appearance of X happening, suck some traders in, then do Y instead. This also makes it very difficult for most traders, as it will seem just when a move gets started, it abruptly ends, especially hard for those learning to trade. Of course there are enough names that do really move and keep going, but these are impossible for the most part to sort out from the ones that stop and reverse until the move is too late.
Stuff will generally pick up after 1:15 for about 45 min or so, then slow down again near 2pm EST. Often, 2:30pm EST is a key time to watch - reversals often start here. A good deal of the time the market will put in a short term top or bottom near this time and then reverse trend into the close. Does it happen all the time? no. But it does happen enough of the time its well worth paying attention to. Volume should pick up after about 3-315 EST into the close, whether there is a 2:30 reversal or not. This is again a good time for day trading, AND its good for watching for longer term additions as you can see if the stock is holding gains, pushed above key resistance, has made a major reversal on daily chart etc.
One thing to note here, is in recent times they have shifted the 2:30pm stuff to the last 45 minutes of the day (meaning instead of 2:30pm est, they do this at 3-3:15 est). Most of it is noticing the pattern of behavior so you can anticipate what might happen. A big part of trading is not just knowing what trade setups happen in real time, its anticipating patterns of behavior.
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